Possible scenario
Courts Slow Project
38% Chance
Arlington County's lawsuits gain traction because the National Park Service advanced the project despite an internal agency warning. A federal judge is likely to focus on administrative-record flaws, funeral disruption evidence, and whether historic-preservation review was rushed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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