Bipartisan Deals Advance

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite partisan hostility, both sides identify areas where Trump and a Democratic Congress can claim wins: cost-of-living measures, industrial policy, permitting, border funding, and prescription drugs. This is less likely than gridlock, but the inflation-heavy campaign environment creates pressure for visible economic action.

What it moves

Technology+0.4%
Industrials+0.4%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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