Possible scenario
Republicans Escalate Oversight
25% Chance
Grassley and Republican allies use the controversy to continue scrutinizing Jack Smith's Trump investigations. The committee may seek more documents, follow-up answers, or additional testimony, but the effort stays within normal partisan oversight channels.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.