Possible scenario
Standoff Fades Quickly
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Chuck Grassley does not apologize, Democrats register their objection, and the dispute loses momentum after one or two news cycles. The issue remains a partisan fight over Jack Smith's testimony and Eric Schmitt's perjury claim rather than a matter with legal or market consequences.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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