Possible scenario
Political Fight Escalates
20% Chance
The fines become a national religious-liberty and parental-rights issue. Litigation, legislative hearings, and advocacy-group campaigns keep the controversy alive even if the epidemiological situation stabilizes.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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