Likud Replaces Netanyahu

22%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Rather than accept either Netanyahu’s Gaza blockade or an election they may lose, Likud figures explore replacing him while keeping a right-leaning government. This is institutionally difficult but plausible if U.S. and domestic pressure converge.

What it moves

Consumer Services+0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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