Possible scenario
Deal Collapses
28%
−0.3%
The attempted rescue of Netanyahu fails because key right-wing partners conclude that concessions on Gaza would damage them electorally. Israel moves toward either an early election or a caretaker government, increasing policy uncertainty but not creating a systemic global shock.
What it moves
- Consumer Services−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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