Turnout Damage

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The allegations depress enthusiasm among Jewish Democrats, moderate suburban voters, and some donors in Metro Detroit. El-Sayed retains strong progressive and Arab American support, but the coalition looks more fragile in a close statewide race.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?