Possible scenario
Polymarket Moderation Retreat
40% Chance
Polymarket treats the Cornell rape-case markets as a reputational and legal mistake rather than a core-business fight. The platform removes similar markets, rewrites its event-review rules, and tries to separate political prediction markets from bets involving alleged victims and active criminal cases.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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