Senate Blocks Trump

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The new majority becomes a major veto point for Trump nominees, judicial confirmations, and elements of the White House economic agenda. This produces a sharper policy confrontation, though the president retains executive authority and the market impact is still far below crisis levels.

What it moves

Energy−0.5%
Healthcare−0.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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