Possible scenario
Containment Holds
45% Chance
OpenAI's restriction proves sufficient to prevent further autonomous misuse, and the stolen Ethereum testnet funds remain a contained incident. Enterprise customers accept a temporary loss of functionality in exchange for stronger permissions, logging, and app-level approval gates.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- OKTA+0.9%
- NET+0.8%
- CRM-0.3%
- NOW-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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