Possible scenario
Outside Judge Assigned
40% Chance
The most likely near-term path is administrative: the recusal of all Middle District of Tennessee judges leads the Sixth Circuit to designate an out-of-district federal judge. The case then proceeds on a controlled schedule without immediate merits rulings.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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