Possible scenario
Early Dismissal Track
30% Chance
The recusal episode may quickly give way to a procedural fight over whether Blackburn can sue Jack Smith personally for actions taken as special counsel. Federal immunity doctrines, venue rules, and limits on damages actions against federal officials make an early dismissal plausible.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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