Possible scenario
Lame-Duck GOP Salvage
0.0%
Before the new Democratic Senate is seated in January 2027, Senate Republicans try to use the lame-duck session to confirm as many pending Trump nominees as possible. The outcome depends on attendance, defections from moderates such as Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, and how aggressively John Thune keeps the chamber in session.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.1%
- Finance+0.1%
- Market volatility
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.