Possible scenario
Courts Limit Enforcement
25% Chance
Federal courts become the main arena after the prior district-court ruling voiding the noncitizen-voting criminal statute. DOJ continues pursuing cases under alternative criminal provisions, but judges narrow how citizenship database matches can be used in criminal prosecutions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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