Possible scenario
AI Build-Out Reset
20% Chance
Oracle reduces immediate cash burn by renegotiating delivery schedules with Stargate partners, utilities, and equipment suppliers. The credit effect is mixed: lower capex helps liquidity, but slower deployment weakens the revenue story used to justify the debt.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
- Utilities -0.8%
- Industrials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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