Negotiated De-escalation

Prime Minister Edi Rama tries to defuse the crisis by offering concessions on university funding, tuition rules, and police accountability while refusing to resign. This is the most likely path because the protests have broadened beyond students, but Albania's governing Socialist Party still has incentives to avoid a full political collapse.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.