Possible scenario
Clearance Holds
50% Chance
The FAA's no-safety-risk determination stands after Boeing provides supporting test data and documentation. This is the most likely path because the agency has already distinguished the software issue from a flight-safety defect, while keeping leverage over certification timing.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- BA+3.3%
- UAL+0.8%
- LUV+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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