Possible scenario
Approval Still Slips
25% Chance
The no-safety-risk ruling does not translate into immediate certification progress because the FAA keeps a conservative posture after the Alaska Airlines door-plug episode and earlier MAX failures. Boeing avoids a grounding-level problem, but the MAX 10 schedule remains vulnerable.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- BA-2.7%
- UAL-0.6%
- LUV-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.