Possible scenario
Rulemaking Takes Lead
22% Chance
The CFTC's proposed treatment of event contracts as swaps could become more important than the immediate rehearing fight. Courts may defer or narrow their action while the agency develops a final rule governing prediction-market contracts.
Tickers
- CME+0.4%
- IBKR-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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