Possible scenario
Pressure Without Withdrawal
45% Chance
Donald Trump continues criticizing Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar over immigration but stops short of formally pulling his endorsement. This is the most likely path because the Florida primary has already passed and national Republicans have incentives to avoid destabilizing a Miami-area House seat.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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