Possible scenario
Party-Brokered Truce
20% Chance
House Republican leaders and Florida GOP figures intervene to prevent the dispute from damaging the general election campaign. Salazar makes a public concession on border language, while Trump or his team signals that defeating Democrats remains the priority.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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