Possible scenario
Biosafety Review Expands
25% Chance
Even without an acknowledged epidemic risk, Moscow opens a technical review of the Irkutsk anti-plague facility, staff exposures, and reporting timelines. The investigation produces administrative findings rather than evidence of uncontrolled spread.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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