Possible scenario
Criminal Probe Advances
26% Chance
The reopened probe gains momentum if prosecutors determine the omitted transcript contains material allegations that were never properly reviewed. This scenario would center on whether the underlying accusation can still support charges despite delays, evidentiary gaps, and statute-of-limitations questions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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