Possible scenario
Remedies Become Tougher
18% Chance
The CMA goes beyond basic NFC access and requires Apple to change wallet defaults, fee structures or anti-steering rules. This would be a stronger regulatory signal with read-through to Apple’s services business and to other jurisdictions following the UK and EU playbooks.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
- Finance +0.6%
Tickers
- AAPL-3.4%
- PYPL+3.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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