Possible scenario
Apple Challenges Order
25% Chance
Apple contests the CMA’s remedy in the Competition Appeal Tribunal, arguing that the order overreaches or inadequately accounts for security and privacy risks. A challenge is plausible because the UK regime is still new and Apple may want to preserve negotiating leverage even if it eventually complies.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- AAPL-0.4%
- PYPL+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.