Possible scenario
Official Accountability Expands
20% Chance
The conviction renews scrutiny of why authorities failed to act on repeated warnings about Mackenzie and the Good News International Church. Parliamentary committees, prosecutors, and civil-society groups are likely to demand accountability from police, local administrators, and child-protection officials.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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