Possible scenario
Rogers Exploits Fractures
27%
0.0%
Mike Rogers keeps the focus on Democratic divisions despite Scholten’s attempt to close ranks. The Republican campaign frames Stevens’ endorsement as more meaningful than Scholten’s rejection of the write-in effort, especially for suburban moderates.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.