Recount Legal Fight

The 47%-47% polling tie translates into an extremely close election result, producing a recount and litigation over ballots in several counties. This is plausible because the race is tied late enough that small shifts in turnout, late deciders, or mail-ballot rejection rates could decide the outcome.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.