Possible scenario
Democratic Early Edge
25%
0.0%
A second plausible path is that the record early vote contains a meaningful Democratic advantage, especially among Black voters, younger voters, and college-educated suburban voters. That would improve Senator Jon Ossoff’s reelection odds and help Democratic statewide candidates hold margins in metro Atlanta.
What it moves
- Healthcare+0.2%
- Energy−0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.