Possible scenario
Litigation Fragments Access
20%
0.0%
Federal and state actions move on different tracks, creating a patchwork outcome for Polymarket’s US app. The product remains available in many jurisdictions, but state-level restrictions and venue-specific rules limit scale.
What it moves
- Finance−0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.