Possible scenario
Domestic Issues Reassert
23% Chance
The foreign-policy exchange is overtaken by state-specific concerns, including auto employment, prescription drug costs, inflation and abortion rights. Both campaigns conclude that the Iran-Israel moment energizes their bases but does not dominate persuasion voters.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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