Possible scenario
Trump As Kingmaker
28% Chance
Trump continues to acknowledge that the Constitution bars a third elected term while using 2028 speculation to maintain leverage over the Republican Party. The most likely effect is a prolonged GOP succession contest in which Trump’s endorsement becomes the central asset.
Tickers
- FOX+0.7%
- NWS+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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