Possible scenario
Contained Senate Scrutiny
35% Chance
The most likely path is a damaging but manageable oversight fight. OpenAI resists Sam Altman's immediate appearance but provides documents, engineers, and remediation details to avoid a subpoena showdown.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
- Business Services -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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