Possible scenario
Settlement And Controls
23% Chance
Rather than risk a sweeping precedent, the parties move toward operational limits, state-level geofencing, and revised market-maker procedures. This outcome is plausible because both Kalshi and liquidity providers have incentives to preserve broader federal-market access while containing Utah-specific exposure.
Tickers
- DKNG+0.5%
- FLUT+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.