Possible scenario
Probe Slows Down
42% Chance
Investigators continue interviews and document collection but do not produce a near-term indictment or denaturalization filing. The sister interview adds investigative detail, but the 2019 review finding no citizenship issues makes prosecutors cautious about proving fraud or material misrepresentation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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