Possible scenario
Starknet Executes L1
35% Chance
Starknet follows through on the L1 shift and positions itself as a leading post-quantum blockchain before fault-tolerant quantum machines are commercially relevant. The move is plausible because NIST standards are finalized, Zcash-related hardening work has started, and Starknet can use the transition to differentiate from Ethereum L2 competitors.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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