Possible scenario
Quantum Upgrade Race
25% Chance
Starknet's proposal becomes part of a wider crypto-industry race to show quantum readiness before IBM's 2029 fault-tolerant target. Chains, wallets, and custodians begin competing on migration roadmaps rather than waiting for an actual quantum attack.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.