Possible scenario
Lottery Reinstated On Time
42% Chance
The State Department complies with the court order and restores Diversity Visa Lottery access by Oct. 18. This is the most likely outcome because agencies often preserve appellate rights while avoiding contempt deadlines in immigration-processing cases.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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