Possible scenario
Senate Block Holds
38% Chance
Schumer uses Senate procedure and caucus discipline to keep the Ratepayer Act from receiving a clean up-or-down vote despite the 417-3 House margin. The most likely near-term result is delay, with utilities and data-center customers gaining time while consumer-rate politics continue into the fall.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +1.0%
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- DUK+0.9%
- AEP+0.8%
- SO+0.8%
- MSFT+0.3%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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