Possible scenario
Bipartisan Deal Passes
31% Chance
The overwhelming House vote increases pressure on Senate leaders to produce a compromise rather than appear to defend higher electricity bills. A revised bill could preserve the core ratepayer-protection framework while adding state flexibility and implementation delays.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.6%
- Technology -0.8%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
Tickers
- DUK-1.0%
- SO-0.9%
- -0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.