Possible scenario
Talks Collapse Publicly
−0.7%
The upgraded Russian team could also mean Moscow is testing hard security demands rather than offering concessions. If the talks fail or leak, the result would strengthen hard-liners in Moscow, Kyiv and Europe.
What it moves
- Energy+0.8%
- Technology−0.6%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.