Possible scenario
Framework Negotiations Open
+0.5%
The elevation to Ryabkov and GRU chief Igor Kostyukov creates space for a security-heavy framework rather than a purely political declaration. The most plausible breakthrough is a staged process covering strikes, prisoners and verification before any territorial settlement.
What it moves
- Energy−0.7%
- Finance+0.4%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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