Possible scenario
Ad Fight Escalates
18% Chance
Democrats and Nez allies pursue a more formal challenge, arguing the ad was misleading and should not be re-aired without corrections. The dispute becomes a late-campaign process fight involving local TV stations, outside groups, and election lawyers.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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