Negotiated Disarmament Advances

The sharp fall in Shia trust gives Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, and Lebanese Army commander Rodolphe Haykal more political cover to press for a phased transfer of Hezbollah heavy weapons. Hezbollah preserves a political role while yielding parts of its military infrastructure under Lebanese state and UNIFIL monitoring.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.