Possible scenario
China Chips Gain Traction
38% Chance
DeepSeek and Huawei make credible progress on a China-designed AI accelerator for next year, helped by Beijing procurement pressure and DeepSeek's prior 160,000-chip Huawei order. The result is not full parity with Nvidia's top-end Blackwell systems, but enough performance and software integration to reduce Chinese customers' reliance on U.S.-controlled GPUs.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
Tickers
- NVDA-3.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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