Possible scenario
Original Case Advances
35% Chance
The most likely path is that prosecutors and civil litigants treat Matthew Ingalls's counterclaim as part of a broader credibility dispute, while the reopened 2024 investigation remains centered on Jane Doe's allegations against the fraternity members. The NYT-revealed internal file and Cornell's hiring of Sally Yates keep institutional handling under scrutiny.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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