Possible scenario
Civil Litigation Expands
30% Chance
The civil case is likely to become the main battleground, with discovery into text messages, party records, Cornell disciplinary files, and medical or forensic evidence. Ingalls's counterclaim may complicate settlement dynamics even if it does not change the criminal posture.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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