Possible scenario
Prosecution Expands
38% Chance
The most likely path is a broader criminal case built from the Irvine arrest and the named accomplice Fatai Miao. Prosecutors use financial records, phone data, and cooperating witnesses to add money-laundering and foreign-agent charges while keeping the case inside the criminal justice system.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Business Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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