Possible scenario
Vetting Fallout Expands
25% Chance
The Zacharia ouster leads to broader scrutiny of hiring standards in the White House communications and personnel offices. This scenario is plausible because the controversy involves a disputed professional credential and a very short tenure.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.